Economist · Causal Inference & Impact Estimation

Andrew Bridger

I am an economist with more than ten years' experience in impact evaluation, econometric modelling and macroeconomic analysis, across government, industry and financial regulation. My focus is causal inference and quasi-experimental design. I take large, messy datasets and turn them into clear evidence that decision-makers can act on.

Currently Lead Economist at the Financial Conduct Authority, London.

Portrait of Andrew Bridger

Research Interests

Causal Inference Impact Evaluation Quasi-experimental Design Difference-in-Differences Regression Discontinuity Matching Methods Macroeconomic Analysis Cost-Benefit Analysis Structural Gravity Models Bayesian Methods

Selected Policy & Applied Work

Working Papers & Research

Estimating Tariff Equivalents of Service Trade Restrictions

Provides new ad-valorem tariff equivalents (AVEs) of trade restrictions in seven service sectors for 50 countries using modern structural gravity models.

SSRN paper Paper (PDF) Presentation

On International Uncertainty Links: BART-based Empirical Evidence for Australia

Uses Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) to study how international uncertainty shocks pass through to the Australian economy, and compares the results against standard linear models.

Paper (PDF) GitHub repository

Australian Manufacturing in 2019

A review of Australian manufacturing, covering output, employment and operating conditions, along with the outlook for the sector.

Report (PDF)

Eastern Australian Energy Prices

An analysis of rising electricity and gas prices across eastern Australia, looking at their causes, supply-side constraints and what they meant for industry and energy policy.

Report (PDF)

Selected Experience

Lead Economist

Oct 2022 – Present

Financial Conduct Authority · London, UK

Senior Economist

Dec 2017 – Oct 2022

The Australian Industry Group (Ai Group) · Melbourne, Australia

Economist

Feb 2016 – Dec 2017

Australian Government · Canberra, Australia

Research Economist

Jan 2015 – Jul 2015

Synergies Economic Consulting · Brisbane, Australia

Education

MSc Economics

University of Edinburgh

Edinburgh, UK

BEcon, Quantitative Methods · BCom, Finance

University of Queensland

Brisbane, Australia